Better Chance of Rain Showers and Storms Tuesday
Rain chances continue into Tuesday and Wednesday as an area of low pressure remains stalled to our north. A stronger disturbance will move in Tuesday afternoon with a more widespread moderate rain threat. Embedded thunderstorms possible. Showers will linger into Wednesday before dryer weather returns.
AIR QUALITY: Good
**FLOOD ADVISORY**
…for Santa Cruz County into Santa Clara County in effect until 7PM
*Urban and small stream flooding caused by excessive rainfall is expected.
*Minor flooding in low-lying and poor drainage areas. Overflowing poor drainage areas.
- At 140 PM PST, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain due to thunderstorms. This will cause urban and small stream flooding.
- Some locations that will experience flooding include... San Jose, Santa Cruz, Watsonville, Gilroy, Morgan Hill, Los Gatos, Corralitos, Scotts Valley, Capitola, Live Oak, Eureka Canyon Road, Uvas Canyon Park, Brown Valley Road, Aptos, Amesti, Rio Del Mar, Freedom, Interlaken, Soquel and Opal Cliffs.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood deaths occur in vehicles.
Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.
Please report observed flooding to local emergency services or law enforcement and request they pass this information to the National Weather Service when you can do so safely.
*FLOOD ADVISORY*
… in effect until 7PM Tuesday for northwestern portions of Santa Cruz County.
*Urban and small stream flooding caused by excessive rainfall is expected.
*Minor flooding in low-lying and poor drainage areas. Water over roadways. Ponding of water in urban or other areas is occurring or is imminent.
-At 1255 PM PST, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain. This will cause urban and small stream flooding.
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood deaths occur in vehicles.
*FLOOD WATCH*…remains in effect for the entire KION coverage area of Monterey, Santa Cruz, San Benito, and Santa Clara Counties now through Wednesday morning.
*Flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be possible.
*Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Creeks and streams may rise out of their banks. Flooding may occur
in poor drainage and urban areas.
- Periods of moderate to locally heavy rainfall will bring the potential for minor to moderate local flooding, as well as rapid rises along area rivers, streams, and creeks across the region. Although most main stem river sites are forecast to remain below flood stage, minor flooding in urban areas and along smaller creeks and streams is expected.
You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.
*FLASH FLOOD WATCH*
…for the River Fire Burn Area in effect now through Wednesday morning.
*Flash flooding and debris flows caused by excessive rainfall are possible over the River Fire burn area.
*Heavy rainfall over the River Fire burn area is expected up to and during the period of the watch. Residents near the River Fire burn area should prepare for potential flooding impacts. Be
sure to stay up to date with information from local authorities. Heavy rainfall could trigger flash flooding of low-lying areas, urbanized street flooding, and debris flows in and near recent wildfire burn scars.
- National Weather Service Meteorologists are forecasting the potential for heavy rainfall over the River Fire burn area, which may lead to flash flooding and debris flows.
You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.
Tuesday: Mostly cloudy with areas of rain with embedded thunderstorms possible. Southerly winds, windy at times, slowly tapering off. Cooler, with highs in the upper 50s to low 60s.
Overnight: Mostly cloudy with rounds of rain and slight chance of thunderstorms. Becoming partly cloudy with showers and storms easing. Lingering showers possible through sunrise. Winds will be gusty at times, becoming breezy. Lows will be in the mid to upper 40s with a few low 50s near the coast, and a few upper 30s for far interior valleys.
Wednesday: Partly cloudy with lingering showers, perhaps popping back up over the hills in the afternoon. Cooler with breezy northwest winds. Highs in the 50s to around 60ºF.
Extended: Expect a dry and seasonable day on Thursday before clouds increase again on Friday. Rain is possible late as a weak weather system approaches from the west. There is some uncertainty as to when it will arrive—the ETA varies from late Friday to Sunday based on available models. Either way, rain is not expected to be all that heavy—mainly light to moderate when it does arrive. Stay tuned to the forecast.
*Note: Any alerts from the National Weather Service in Monterey will be noted in italics above. Alerts may be edited for brevity or local clarification (in parenthesis)
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This week's normal temperatures:
--COASTAL CITIES--
LOW: 44ºF
HIGH: 61ºF
--INLAND CITIES--
LOW: 40ºF
HIGH: 64ºF
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-The outlook from the Climate Prediction Center for February 27th – March 4th calls for the likelihood of BELOW normal temperatures and ABOVE normal precipitation.
- ENSO (El Niño/La Niña) STATUS: El Niño Advisory, La Niña Watch
- ENSO Forecast: Transition from El Niño to neutral by Spring and then to La Niña by summer.
-Area drought status: Currently drought-free
