Unsettled, Winter Weather Coming
A complex storm system will develop in the next few days off to our west. Temperatures have already started cooling and will be noticeable on Monday with deep southwesterly onshore flow. Higher moisture levels will lead to clouds and a slight chance for coastal showers. The big low to our west will retrograde on Tuesday which will lead to dryer and warmer conditions locally, though the strengthening system will help keep the wind machine going. We’re likely to see the first frontal system associated with the larger scale system move through on Wednesday and then the overall system sliding through on Friday. Overall, we’re looking less likely to see heavy rainfall, but moderate rains along with gusty winds will be possible during several timeframes.
AIR QUALITY: Good
Overnight: Mostly cloudy on the coast with lows in the mid 50s to low 50s, partly cloudy inland with mid 30s to upper 40s.
Monday: Partly to mostly cloudy on the coast with a stray shower possible. Highs in the upper 50s to 60s and notably cooler on the north side of the bay. Inland areas can expect mostly sunny skies, but cooler highs as well, topping out in the 60s. Gusty southerly winds at times.
Tuesday: Partly cloudy on the coast with an isolated shower possible and highs in the 60s to around 70ºF, mostly sunny inland with dry conditions and highs in the 60s-70s. Gusty southerly winds at times.
Extended: Rain is looking more likely on Wednesday, especially later in the day and across most of the viewing area as a frontal system moves through. Gusty winds expected along and ahead of the front. Conditions will remain showery on Thursday and will pick up on Friday as the parent low moves over. Showers may linger all the way into Saturday before dryer weather returns.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
This week's normal temperatures:
--COASTAL CITIES--
LOW: 46ºF
HIGH: 66ºF
--INLAND CITIES--
LOW: 40ºF
HIGH: 68ºF
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
-The outlook from the Climate Prediction Center for November 20TH – 26TH - calls for the likelihood of near normal temperatures and ABOVE normal precipitation.
- ENSO (El Niño/La Niña) STATUS: El Niño Advisory
- ENSO Forecast: Strong to Very Strong El Niño expected this winter.
-Area drought status: Currently drought-free
