Foggy, Cloudy, Muggy Monday
Your forecast for Monterey, Santa Cruz, San Benito, and southern Santa Clara Counties…
I hope you’re ready for a temperature roller coaster over the next week. For the first week of Meteorological Summer, there sure is a lot going on! We’ll kick off our Monday in a damp, mild air mass with slightly cool temperatures and coastal clouds. This will be reinforced initially by a warm front which will add another boost of low level moisture early in the day but a trailing and dry cold front will turn the switch the other way. Relatively dry air will begin to pour in from the north behind the cold front all while a ridge high of high pressure will rapidly strengthen and build in from the southwest. The combination should wipe out most of the low level clouds and warm temperatures as much as 10-15ºF for most areas on Tuesday. Temperatures will then peak for most areas on Wednesday with the ridge directly overhead, though there may be some slight coastal cooling—more on that in the extended forecast below.
AIR QUALITY: Good
Monday: Partly cloudy for most of the day with a mix of high clouds and low coastal clouds. Highs in the low 60s to mid 70s on the coast—warmest on the north side of the bay—and low 70s to mid 80s inland. Gusty northwesterly onshore and up-valley winds pick up around lunch time, lasting through the afternoon and evening.
Overnight: Clouds will gradually clear becoming partly cloudy near the coast, and partly cloudy to mostly clear inland. Areas of low clouds possible for the southern and eastern portions of the bay into sunrise. Patchy fog possible in sheltered areas with light winds. West-northwest winds, however, will be breezy with occasional gusts possible. Lows will be cooler in the upper 40s to low 50s, with a few mid 40s for far interior locations.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny with a few high clouds passing through. Much warmer with coastal highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s—warmest on the north side of the bay—and low 80s to upper 90s inland. Gusty northwesterly onshore and up-valley winds in the afternoon and evening.
Extended: Expect another mostly sunny day on Wednesday with just a few high clouds passing through. Most areas will be a few degrees warmer than on Tuesday, though some coastal areas may dip a bit. Onshore flow will become more westerly into Thursday which will likely bring low clouds and much cooler temperatures to the coast—to the point where we could be in “June Gloom” mode through Friday. We’ll take a temperature hit inland as well, but mainly in the lower elevation and near coastal valleys. Highs, on average, will remain above normal inland but drop to below on the coast. We should level out closer to normal this coming weekend under partly cloudy skies.
**HEAT ADVISORY**
…for the Gabilan Range, Cholame Hills, and southeastern valleys of Monterey County, the mountains and higher elevation valleys of San Bentio County, the Santa Clara Valley and the Diablo Range in Santa Clara County in effect from 8AM Wednesday until midnight Thursday.
*Daytime temperatures in the 90s to near 100 degrees, farthest inland 100 to 103 degrees expected. Overnight temperatures lowering to the 60s.
*Hot temperatures may cause heat illnesses to occur.
Drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air-conditioned room, stay out of the sun, and check up on relatives and neighbors. Young children and pets should never be left unattended in vehicles
under any circumstances.
Take extra precautions if you work or spend time outside. When possible reschedule strenuous activities to early morning or evening. Know the signs and symptoms of heat exhaustion and heat
stroke. Wear lightweight and loose fitting clothing when possible. To reduce risk during outdoor work, the Occupational Safety and Health Administration recommends scheduling frequent rest breaks in shaded or air conditioned environments. Anyone overcome by heat should be moved to a cool and shaded location.
Heat stroke is an emergency! Call 9 1 1.
*Note: Any alerts from the National Weather Service in Monterey will be noted in italics above. Alerts may be edited for brevity or local clarification (in parenthesis).
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This week's normal temperatures:
--COASTAL CITIES--
LOW: 51ºF
HIGH: 67ºF
--INLAND CITIES--
LOW: 48ºF
HIGH: 79ºF
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-The outlook from the Climate Prediction Center for June 10th – 16th calls for the likelihood of ABOVE normal temperatures and ABOVE normal precipitation.
- ENSO (El Niño/La Niña) STATUS: El Niño Advisory, La Niña Watch
- ENSO Forecast: Transition from El Niño to neutral soon and then to La Niña by summer.
- Area drought status: Currently drought-free
- Monterey Bay Sea Surface Temperature* as of June 2nd : 55.4ºF
(Historic June AVG: 56.7ºF)
*average of three buoys
