Big Change Coming
The weather is about to change. Long gone will be the warm and dry days as we enter an unsettled weather pattern. Sunday will be somewhat of a transition day in that it will be the coolest day we’ve had in the last couple of weeks and probably the warmest day we’ll have in the next week! A trough of low pressure will dig down the coast allowing for deep onshore flow. Temperatures will cool and moisture levels increase and while there is no definitive rain-maker with this system, we’ll likely see patchy drizzle late Sunday into Monday with an isolated shower or two around the region as well. The weather pattern remains unsettled for the next week or so—see more in the extended section below.
AIR QUALITY: Good to Moderate
Sunday: Partly cloudy with mixed clouds. Cooler, with coastal highs in the low 60s to low 70s and upper 60s to upper 70s inland. Low clouds thicken late in the day with a few sprinkles/drizzle possible. Occasionally breezy onshore flow early, becoming gusty late.
Overnight: Mostly cloudy with patchy drizzle possible. Lows in the 40s-50s. Gusty northwesterly winds at times, especially in exposed areas.
Monday: Partly cloudy and blustery. Cooler yet with highs in the upper 50s to mid-60s. An isolated, light shower will be possible.
Extended: Dry conditions are expected Tuesday and Wednesday, but will remain in cool northwest flow with highs struggling to get out of the 50s & 60s. The next system will pass by on Thursday (Halloween) and while it will be in the process of falling apart, it may last long enough to give us a bit of rain. Additional rain chances will exist into the weekend as another system slides down the coast. There are no slam-dunks in the rain forecast, but plenty to monitor, so please stay tuned to our forecast.
*Note: Any alerts from the National Weather Service in Monterey will be noted in italics above. Alerts may be edited for brevity or local clarification
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This week's normal temperatures:
--COASTAL CITIES--
LOW: 49ºF
HIGH: 70ºF
--INLAND CITIES--
LOW: 45ºF
HIGH: 76ºF
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-The outlook from the Climate Prediction Center for November 3rd - 9th calls for the likelihood of ABOVE normal temperatures and BELOW normal precipitation.
- ENSO (El Niño/La Niña) STATUS: La Niña Watch
- ENSO Forecast: Transition to La Niña into the fall and persist through the winter months.
- Area drought status: Abnormally dry for areas around Monterey Bay northward. Drought-free elsewhere.
- Monterey Bay Sea Surface Temperature as of October 27th: 56.4ºF (avg of 6 buoys)