Seasonal Swings
Warm fall weather continues on Thursday before things change for the weekend. Beginning Friday, a trough will begin to dig down the West Coast. We’ll see increasing clouds late in the day Friday ahead of this trough and maybe even a little drizzle late. By Saturday, the trough will dig down over California with showers looking more and more likely early in the day Saturday. There will be a little instability, so there is a chance of a thundershower or two as well. Temperatures will drop into the 60s for most areas and that cool-down will last into Sunday. A few more showers will be possible on Sunday before dryer weather is expected next week. High pressure then builds in in next week and with some offshore wind potential, much warmer weather is then expected.
AIR QUALITY: Good
***GALE WARNING***
…for Coastal Waters from Point Pinos to Point Piedras Blancas California out to 10 nm. In effect until 9AM Friday.
*Northwest winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts up to 45 kt and seas 8 to 10 ft expected.
… and for the near coastal waters from Pigeon Point to Point Pinos (outside of Monterey Bay) in effect from 3PM Thursday until 9PM Thursday.
*Northwest winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt and seas of 8 to 10 ft expected.
*Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.
Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions.
Overnight: Patchy low clouds, otherwise clear. Lows in the 50s on the coast, 40s-50s inland. Breezy northwesterly onshore winds for the coast and valleys.
Thursday: Becoming mostly sunny. Highs in the mid-60s to low 80s on the coast—warmest on the north side of the bay—and upper 70s to upper 80s inland. Gusty north-northwesterly onshore winds at times.
Friday: Mostly sunny early, then increasing clouds late. Slightly cooler with coastal highs in the mid-60s to around 80ºF—warmest on the north side of the bay—and mid-70s to upper 80s inland. Gusty northwesterly onshore winds becoming more west-northwesterly late.
Extended: A weather system will bring scattered showers and cooler temperatures to the region Saturday with lingering impacts into Sunday. There is also a slight chance of a thunderstorm. Temperatures then trend warmer through mid-week next week.
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This week's normal temperatures:
--COASTAL CITIES--
LOW: 53ºF
HIGH: 70ºF
--INLAND CITIES--
LOW: 49ºF
HIGH: 83ºF
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-The outlook from the Climate Prediction Center for October 5th – 11th calls for the likelihood of BELOW normal temperatures and ABOVE normal precipitation.
- ENSO (El Niño/La Niña) STATUS: El Niño Advisory
- Forecast: Strong to Very Strong El Niño expected this winter.
-Area drought status: Currently drought-free
