Weak Weather System Moves Through Tuesday
The weather pattern becomes more active in the coming days with several chances for rain. A weak cold front will arrive on Tuesday with a few light showers possible under otherwise mostly cloudy and cool conditions. Then, a developing low to our south will throw some moisture our way into Wednesday AM with wide shield of moderate rain possible. The farther north the low moves, the more rain we’ll see. A weak disturbance moving in from the northwest will bring a chance of showers late in the day Wednesday followed by a stronger, developing storm into Thursday.
Air Quality: Good
Tuesday: Mostly cloudy early with the chance of a light shower. Then becoming partly cloudy. Slightly warmer with highs in the upper 50s to mid-60s. Light winds. Clouds thicken late.
Overnight: Mostly cloudy, with drizzle and sprinkles possible heading into midnight. Rain will increase becoming light to moderate, and widespread before sunrise. Expect a wet morning commute. Winds will remain calm.
Wednesday: Widespread rain early, perhaps more likely in the south, then becoming partly cloudy with a few showers possible. Northwesterly winds picking up in the afternoon. Cooler, with highs in the mid-50s to around 60ºF.
Extended: A potentially stronger storm system arrives on Thursday with gusty northwesterly wind and rain at times with a chance for thunderstorms. Snow will be possible above 3,000ft. This compact system’s location will mean a lot when it comes to wind speeds. If it stays offshore, we won’t see much wind. If it moves ashore north of or near us, we’ll likely see some higher gusts. High pressure will then build in for the weekend with a period of around 3 warmer, dry days. Active weather continues into next week, however, with a system on Monday and another Wednesday.
*Note: Any alerts from the National Weather Service in Monterey will be noted in italics above. Alerts may be edited for brevity or local clarification.
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This week's normal temperatures:
--COASTAL CITIES--
LOW: 45ºF
HIGH: 62ºF
--INLAND CITIES--
LOW: 40ºF
HIGH: 65ºF
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-The outlook from the Climate Prediction Center for March 11th – 17th calls for the likelihood of BELOW normal temperatures and ABOVE normal precipitation.
- ENSO (El Niño/La Niña) STATUS: La Niña Advisory
- ENSO Forecast: La Niña persists into spring, then transitions to neutral by summer.
- Area drought status: Moderate drought for eastern San Benito County and far southeastern Monterey County. Abnormally dry for the remainder of the viewing area.
Monterey Bay Sea Surface Temperature as of March 4tha: 53.5ºF (avg of 7 buoys)
[Historic March Avg. SST: 55.3ºF]
