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Sandwiched between two weather systems, the influence of a trough of low pressure to our northwest is the strongest for now. The marine layer will remain deep into Tuesday with deep mixing working against a stable cloud layer. We’ll then transition to a more stable marine layer by Wednesday, but the high moving in from the east will nudge temps upward across the board.

AIR QUALITY: Good
 

Overnight: Low clouds will be slow to return, but will eventually fill in on the coast, bay, and major inland valleys. Lows in the 50s for the most part.

Tuesday: Clouds should clear back to the coast by mid-morning and perhaps briefly clear out altogether. The strengthening marine layer and northwest flow should help reinforce low cloudcover on the south side of the bay later in the day, however. Slightly cooler on the coast with highs in the 60s to low 70s but slightly warmer inland with mid 70s to around 102ºF.

Wednesday: Morning overcast will give way to a few low clouds lingering on the south side of the bay. Otherwise sunny with a few high clouds sneaking in from the south late in the day. Coastal highs in the mid 60s to mid 70s with 80s to around 108ºF inland.

Extended: Temperatures will continue to warm through Friday, peaking 6-12ºF above normal and we’ll cruise through the weekend with continued above normal readings. Latest trends are for warmer weather next week as well.

*Note: Any alerts from the National Weather Service in Monterey will be noted in italics above. Alerts may be edited for brevity or local clarification (in parenthesis).

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This week's normal temperatures:
--COASTAL CITIES--
LOW: 54ºF
HIGH: 68ºF

--INLAND CITIES--
LOW: 52ºF
HIGH: 85ºF
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-The outlook from the Climate Prediction Center for July 23rd – 29th calls for the likelihood of ABOVE normal temperatures and near normal* precipitation.
*Note: little to no precipitation typically falls this time of year

- ENSO (El Niño/La Niña) STATUS: 
La Niña Watch
- ENSO Forecast: Transition to La Niña by late summer.
- Area drought status: Currently drought-free
- Monterey Bay Sea Surface Temperature* as of July 15th: 59.2
ºF
(Historic June AVG: 58.4ºF) -- *average of three buoys

Article Topic Follows: Weather Authority

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Dann Cianca

Dann Cianca is the chief meteorologist at KION News Channel 5/46.

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