Staying Dry, Increased Fire Danger
Pleasant weather will continue Sunday with sunshine and warm temps. However, the heat will continue to build into Monday with an Excessive Heat Watch already issued for the Central Coast beginning Tuesday. A monsoonal high to our southeast will nudge in a bit for remainder of the weekend. Then a subtropical high out over the Pacific will strengthen and slowly approach from the west. This will keep the warming trend going and going and going… with a prolonged heat event that will affect everyone, not just those sensitive to the heat. Prepare now and be ready. The temps will climb into the triple digits and become dangerous. There is also an increased fire risk due to the hot and dry weather conditions. Be smart and safe for this week's Fourth of July celebrations.
AIR QUALITY: Good
Overnight: Clear to partly cloudy, with clouds possible around the bay. Lows will be a bit milder area wide with low to mid 50s.
Sunday: Some AM coastal clouds then sunshine for much of the afternoon across the Central Coast and very pleasant with temps a bit warmer, especially inland. Minor heat risk inland.
Monday: AM clouds giving way to sunshine and warmer coastal and inland with increased heat risk as we head into a weeklong heat wave. Mid to upper 60s and 70s coastal and 80s to triple digits inland as the intense heat arrives.
Extended: Tuesday marks the beginning of an Excessive Heat Watch everywhere but immediate coast of Monterey Bay. Hot temperatures will become dangerous especially inland. Widespread 90s and 100s are possible from Tuesday on—highs potentially getting up to 110ºF in the typical hot spots. No relief at night with overnight lows staying in the 60s and 70s inland. It will definitely be warmer for coastal cities, but weak onshore flow may keep cooler temps and fog right along the coast. Still, with the ridge to our west, it can sometimes favor a more northerly offshore flow which could result in significant heating toward the coast. Some of the finer details are yet to be ironed out, so stay tuned to the forecast. Either way, hot and dry conditions are expected for the Fourth of July, making fire danger high!
***Excessive Heat Watch***
…for the mts and valleys and all interior across the Central Coast except for the Monterey Bay immediate coast.
…from Tuesday morning through Friday evening.
…dangerously hot, well above normal temperatures with limited overnight cooling expected.
*Impacts: Extreme heat will significantly increase the potential for heat related illnesses, particularly for those working or participating in outdoor activities. Overnight lows will warm as well leading to poor relief from the heat specifically in elevated terrain and interior areas.
*Preparedness Actions: Drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air conditioned room, stay out of the sun, and check up on relatives and neighbors. Take cold showers to cool down.
*Young children and pets and all animals should never be left unattended under any circumstances. Animals need to be out of the hot sun and have fresh cold water with constant checks. Never leave any living being in a car or vehicle during hot weather. It only takes minutes for a life to die.
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This week's normal temperatures:
--COASTAL CITIES--
LOW: 53ºF
HIGH: 68ºF
--INLAND CITIES--
LOW: 50ºF
HIGH: 83ºF
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-The outlook from the Climate Prediction Center for July 5th – 11th calls for the likelihood of ABOVE normal temperatures and near normal* precipitation.
*Note: little to no precipitation typically falls this time of year
- ENSO (El Niño/La Niña) STATUS: La Niña Watch
- ENSO Forecast: Transition to La Niña by late summer.
- Area drought status: Currently drought-free
- Monterey Bay Sea Surface Temperature* as of June 26th: 55.1ºF
(Historic June AVG: 56.7ºF) -- *average of three buoys
