Drying Out
The wind will be the main character in Sunday’s weather. In the wake of Saturday morning’s cold front, a cool, dry air mass pushes into the region. Sandwiched in between a big ridge out over the Pacific and a deep trough across the West, the pressure gradient will mean for gusty conditions locally. The wind will slowly shift offshore—becoming more northerly late in the day Sunday. This will encourage further drying of the air mass. Luckily, Saturday’s rain added moisture into the vegetation for most areas, but the dry air will slowly erode away at that. Fire danger will be elevated.
AIR QUALITY: Good
***GALE WARNING***
…for the near coastal waters from Pigeon Point to Point Piedras Blancas (excluding Monterey Bay) in effect until 9PM Sunday
*Northwest winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 40 kt and seas of 8-10ft expected.
*Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.
Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for hazardous conditions.
Sunday: Mostly sunny and warmer with highs in the 60s to low 70s. Gusty northerly winds at times with dryer air moving in. Elevated fire danger, especially areas that saw little to no rain on Saturday.
*Beach Hazards Statement*
… for north and west-facing beaches of Monterey & Santa Cruz Counties from 3PM Sunday until 7PM Monday
*Long period northwest swell will result in an energetic surf zone resulting in an increasing risk of sneaker waves and increasing rip currents, then transitioning to a larger surf with strong rip currents, long beach run-up and large shore break on steeper beaches. Breaking waves of 10 to 14 feet are expected.
*Large waves can sweep across the beach without warning, pulling people into the sea from rocks, jetties, and beaches. Sudden immersion in cold water can result in cold water shock even for the most experienced swimmers. Cold water shock can result in dramatic changes in breathing, heart rate and blood pressure, greatly increasing the risk of drowning in rough open waters.
Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous swimming conditions.
Overnight: Clear and cool with gusty northerly winds at times, especially over the hills. Lows in the 40s to around 50ºF on the coast and 30s-40s inland.
Monday: Winds taper off but may remain gusty at times in the hills. Mostly sunny with highs in the 60s to low 70s.
Extended: Seasonable to slightly warm afternoons and cool mornings for the rest of the week with occasional offshore winds. The next signal for rain in the forecast is showing up around Nov 11/12.
*Note: Any alerts from the National Weather Service in Monterey will be noted in italics above. Alerts may be edited for brevity or local clarification
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This week's normal temperatures:
--COASTAL CITIES--
LOW: 48ºF
HIGH: 69ºF
--INLAND CITIES--
LOW: 43ºF
HIGH: 73ºF
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-The outlook from the Climate Prediction Center for November 10th – 16th calls for the likelihood of BELOW normal temperatures and ABOVE normal precipitation.
- ENSO (El Niño/La Niña) STATUS: La Niña Watch
- ENSO Forecast: Transition to La Niña into the fall and persist through the winter months.
- Area drought status: Abnormally dry for areas around Monterey Bay northward. Drought-free elsewhere.
- Monterey Bay Sea Surface Temperature as of November 2nd: 56.9ºF (avg of 6 buoys)
