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Warming Back Up

Air Quality (as of 8:00AM)
GOOD for all reporting stations

WEATHER STORY
No major changes in the weather are expected in the short term. Our light west-northwesterly flow will get a little stronger and a little more northwesterly on Tuesday. That will change the configuration of the clouds around the bay. We’ve been in a persistent pattern for the past few days without much change. By Tuesday, Santa Cruz will be sunnier and warmer, but not much will change on the south side of the bay. High pressure will slowly edge back to the west from the Four Corners region as we head into the weekend. This will lead to a net warm-up that will mostly be felt inland. By Saturday, even coastal areas will see highs at or above normal, while inland areas are scorching in the 90s-100s. Some monsoonal moisture will rotate around the high from the south, but at this moment, that may only translate to some high cloudcover.

FORECAST

***GALE WARNING***

  In effect from 3PM this afternoon through 9PM Wednesday for Coastal Waters from Point Pinos to Point Piedras Blancas California out to 10 nm.  

-Northwest winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt and seas 8 to 10 feet at 12 seconds expected. For the Small Craft Advisory, northwest winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt.

-Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

Tuesday: Morning low clouds will break to sunshine for inland valleys. Patchy low clouds will linger on the south side of the bay. Expect coastal highs in the low 60s to mid 70s—warmest on the north side of the bay--with inland highs ranging from the 70s-80s in the near coastal valleys to the 90s-100s farther inland. Onshore winds will get gusty for the valleys in the late afternoon and early evening.

Overnight: Overnight drizzle and widespread low clouds. Expect lows in the 50s for most areas with a few 40s inland. 

Wednesday: Patchy drizzle possible once again overnight on the south/east sides of the bay. Then, morning low clouds will break to sunshine for inland valleys. Patchy low clouds will linger on the south side of the bay. Expect coastal highs in the low 60s to upper 70s—warmest on the north side of the bay--with inland highs ranging from the 70s-80s in the near coastal valleys to the 90s-100s farther inland. Onshore winds will get gusty for the valleys in the late afternoon and early evening.

Extended: Temperatures will slowly warm up on the coast into the weekend reaching seasonal normal on Friday and exceeding them by Saturday/Sunday. Inland areas will warm much faster, landing above normal by Tuesday and staying that way through the weekend. Inland highs may be as much as 10-20ºF above normal by the weekend. Overall coastal cloud coverage will decrease slightly by the weekend, but high clouds will stream in from the south starting Thursday.


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This week's normal temperatures:

--COASTAL CITIES--
LOW: 52ºF
HIGH: 69ºF
 
--INLAND CITIES--
LOW: 50ºF
HIGH: 84ºF

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-The outlook from the Climate Prediction Center for July 13th – 19th calls for the likelihood of ABOVE normal temperatures and near normal precipitation*. 
*Note: little to no precipitation usually falls this time of year.
-El Niño/La Niña STATUS: Neutral
-Forecast into Summer: Neutral

-Area drought status: “
Extreme Drought” for the entire viewing area with the far southeastern corner of Monterey County considered “Exceptional Drought”

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Zach McIntyre

Zach McIntyre is the morning meteorologist at KION News Channel 5/46.

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