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Rounds Of Showers & Storms Persist

Periods of moderate to heavy rain and gusty winds will remain possible overnight into Thursday. There is also a chance of thunderstorms. Additional trees may fall which could lead to power outages and blocked roadways. The large scale flood threat looks to be over for the time being, but small scale flooding of roads, fields, and low areas will remain possible. Well get a break late Thursday. Then, a weak weather system will clip us on Friday morning with light showers possible. Another, stronger system will arrive late Saturday into Sunday with moderate to heavy rain and gusty winds possible. A second system follows Monday into Tuesday with similar possibilities. The weather pattern looks to remain active for the next week or two which will lead to a continued flooding threat. Stay tuned to the forecast.

AIR QUALITY: Good

***FLASH FLOOD WARNING***

… for Pacheco Creek in San Benito County until 12PM

* At 1:53AM PST, dam operators reported the spillway of the North Fork Dam is compromised. It is perceived that water will overtop the spillway by tomorrow morning. Flash flooding may occur immediately downstream in the vicinity of Lovers Lane. Increased flows into Pacheco Creek would also occur.

Life threatening flash flooding from a dam floodgate release.

Life threatening flash flooding of areas along the creek immediately downstream of the dam. This includes Lovers Lane.

If you are in low lying areas below the North Fork Dam you should move to higher ground immediately.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood deaths occur in vehicles.

**HIGH SURF ADVISORY**
…for higher elevations on the Central Coast including Santa Cruz Mountains-Eastern Santa Clara Hills-East Bay Hills- Santa Lucia Mountains and Los Padres National Forest- Mountains of San Benito and Interior Monterey County including Pinnacles National Park.

Until 10am Thursday morning.

*South winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 65 mph.

* Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

* The strongest winds will remain in the region's peaks and ridges. Occasional gusts up to 45 mph will remain possible in the adjacent foothills.

*Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

*FLOOD WATCH*
… for the entire KION coverage area from late Tuesday night through Thursday.

A potent Pineapple Express will move into the region Wednesday and continue into Thursday. This will bring substantial rainfall to the Bay Area and Monterey Bay region on top of already saturated soils. As a result look for rapid rises in area creeks, streams, and rivers. Bankfull exceedance is possible. In addition strong gusty winds will bring branches and trees down, which may cause localized damming of water ways. Rain will taper by Thursday afternoon, allowing for rivers to level off and begin to lower.

*Flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible.

*Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Creeks and streams may rise out of their banks. Flooding may occur
in poor drainage and urban areas. Low-water crossings may be flooded. Storm drains and ditches may become clogged with debris. Extensive street flooding and flooding of creeks and rivers are
possible.
 
You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop.

Overnight: Mostly cloudy with rounds of showers and thunderstorms. Gusty winds at times. Brief heavy rain possible with minor flooding. Lows in the upper 40s to low 50s.

Thursday:
Mostly cloudy with rounds of showers and thunderstorms. Storms could have heavy rain which could cause more isolated flooding impacts. Winds will remain gusty but won’t be as extreme as Wednesday evening. Highs in the 50s. Showers taper off alte.

***HIGH SURF WARNING***

… for the immediate coast of Monterey County in effect from 7am Thursday until 3AM Friday.

*Dangerously large breaking waves of 20 to 27 feet expected.

*Extremely dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and localized beach erosion. Very large shorebreak. Much farther than normal wave runup. Some beaches will be inundated at high tide. Rounding or climbing over rock outcroppings will be extremely dangerous. Fishing off rock walls or jetties may wash you out to sea.

*The ocean is an unrelenting environment with little to no chance of rescue. Respect this force of nature and remain well away from hazardous ocean conditions.
Everyone should remain out of the water due to life-threatening surf conditions. Stay off of jetties, piers, and other waterside infrastructure.

**HIGH SURF ADVISORY**… for the immediate coast of the north side of Monterey Bay in effect from 7AM Thursday until 3AM Friday.

*Large breaking waves of 17 to 22 feet.

*Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and localized beach erosion. Large shorebreak. Farther than normal wave runup. Some beaches will be inundated at high tide. Rounding or climbing over rock outcroppings will be extremely dangerous. Fishing off rock walls or jetties may wash you out to sea.

*The ocean is an unrelenting environment with little to no chance of rescue. Respect this force of nature and remain well away from hazardous ocean conditions.

Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous swimming conditions.

Friday: Partly cloudy with a few showers early. Then, dry with highs in the 50s to low 60s. Breezy at times.

Extended:
The weather pattern remains active with storm systems Sat/Sun and Mon/Tue … and beyond.

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This week's normal temperatures:

--COASTAL CITIES--
LOW: 42ºF
HIGH: 61ºF

--INLAND CITIES--
LOW: 37ºF
HIGH: 61ºF

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-The outlook from the Climate Prediction Center for January 12th – 18th calls for the likelihood of near normal temperatures and ABOVE normal precipitation.

- El Niño/La Niña STATUS: La Niña Advisory

- Forecast: Weak La Niña continues through winter, becomes neutral by Spring

-Area drought status: “
Severe Drought” for most of the viewing area with “Extreme Drought” in southern San Benito and southeastern Monterey Counties. The southeastern third of San Benito County has been upgraded to “Exceptional Drought”

Article Topic Follows: Weather Authority

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Dann Cianca

Dann Cianca is the chief meteorologist at KION News Channel 5/46.

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